French League MasterStats
Regular season · scores
Luck index
Expected wins from points scored and allowed (Pythagorean formula, exponent 8), compared with the real record. A positive gap: the team wins more than its points suggest.
| # | Team | Games | Record | Exp. wins | Gap | Close games (≤ 5 pts) | Diff./game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics@Bakel_2312 | 29 | 27-2 | 23.5 | +3.5Lucky | 5-16 games | +12.5 |
| 2 | Timberwolves@GeniuS MaJor | 29 | 14-15 | 10.9 | +3.1Lucky | 2-46 games | -4.0 |
| 3 | Mavericks@Eagles-Le-Barbu | 28 | 4-24 | 1.8 | +2.2Lucky | 3-14 games | -22.4 |
| 4 | Wizards@NCALI | 29 | 8-21 | 6.3 | +1.7Lucky | 2-13 games | -11.1 |
| 5 | Spurs@Kawelito | 27 | 20-7 | 18.5 | +1.5Lucky | 5-27 games | +5.7 |
| 6 | Knicks@djawadledz27 | 29 | 18-11 | 16.8 | +1.2Within the norm | 5-27 games | +2.7 |
| 7 | Pistons@Bronnyjames_ | 27 | 14-13 | 13.126 scored games | +0.9Within the norm | 3-14 games | -0.5 |
| 8 | Hawks@IziR1 | 29 | 17-12 | 16.3 | +0.7Within the norm | 7-29 games | +2.1 |
| 9 | Heat@MiMirtinthefire | 28 | 10-18 | 9.5 | +0.5Within the norm | 3-25 games | -5.6 |
| 10 | Suns@Noh225 | 28 | 2-26 | 1.6 | +0.4Within the norm | 1-45 games | -22.0 |
| 11 | 76ers@NiiinoBall | 29 | 22-7 | 21.628 scored games | +0.4Within the norm | 2-13 games | +10.5 |
| 12 | Pelicans@Magic_XXIII | 26 | 9-17 | 8.7 | +0.3Within the norm | 4-15 games | -5.7 |
| 13 | Rockets@Breezy | 27 | 23-4 | 22.8 | +0.2Within the norm | 3-36 games | +14.6 |
| 14 | Bulls@rabsi | 29 | 8-21 | 8.0 | 0.0Within the norm | 3-25 games | -7.8 |
| 15 | Bucks@riico_jr | 29 | 20-9 | 20.0 | 0.0Within the norm | 4-04 games | +6.7 |
| 16 | Nets@Weezyinho | 27 | 5-22 | 5.0 | 0.0Within the norm | 3-36 games | -12.1 |
| 17 | Cavaliers@Arno | 28 | 22-6 | 22.126 scored games | -0.1Within the norm | 3-25 games | +10.5 |
| 18 | KingsNo GM | 23 | 1-22 | 1.4 | -0.4Within the norm | 0-44 games | -23.2 |
| 19 | Clippers@Unkfut | 29 | 21-8 | 21.4 | -0.4Within the norm | 3-25 games | +9.4 |
| 20 | Thunder@Etzeir | 29 | 4-25 | 4.5 | -0.5Within the norm | 3-69 games | -12.7 |
| 21 | Pacers@Noahalex64 | 29 | 23-6 | 23.6 | -0.6Within the norm | 2-46 games | +12.7 |
| 22 | Magic@Waizers | 29 | 16-13 | 16.628 scored games | -0.6Within the norm | 4-26 games | +2.6 |
| 23 | Lakers@Dydouw99 | 29 | 21-8 | 21.7 | -0.7Within the norm | 3-36 games | +9.6 |
| 24 | Warriors@hotBooy_13 | 26 | 17-9 | 17.9 | -0.9Within the norm | 3-03 games | +7.5 |
| 25 | Trail Blazers@xKarkasss_ | 29 | 15-14 | 16.6 | -1.6Cursed | 0-55 games | +3.0 |
| 26 | Nuggets@Joackim-93600 | 27 | 8-19 | 10.3 | -2.3Cursed | 2-46 games | -4.5 |
| 27 | Raptors@Zvnkoo | 29 | 24-5 | 26.6 | -2.6Cursed | 1-23 games | +20.2 |
| 28 | Grizzlies@clement02 | 29 | 7-22 | 9.8 | -2.8Cursed | 3-710 games | -5.6 |
| 29 | Jazz@Badgraal | 29 | 18-11 | 21.6 | -3.6Cursed | 0-44 games | +9.0 |
| 30 | Hornets@Mdln_zoumo | 29 | 4-25 | 9.228 scored games | -5.2Cursed | 0-77 games | -7.0 |
Method
- Formula
- Expected win share = PF8 / (PF8 + PA8), points summed over the games whose score counts; expected wins = that share of the games played. Gap = wins − expected wins.
- Exponent
- Fixed at 8 for every league, fitted once on our leagues' scores (2K margins are much wider than in the NBA, where it is about 14) and refitted after a full season: a fit on a few dozen games would move every night.
- Simulated games
- A simulated game counts in the record and in the games played, not in the points.
- Labels
- Lucky from a gap of +1.5 wins, Cursed from −1.5; within the norm in between.
- Ranking
- Ranked and labelled from 10 games with a counted score. Smaller samples are listed last, in grey.
- Close games
- Decided by 5 points or fewer, simulated games left out (the team page's split).