French League MasterPlayoff projections
Chances from 1 simulated season over the games each team will probably still play by the end of the season on 15 October. Top 6: straight into the playoffs. 7 to 10: play-in. Updated after every validated result.
Estimates use complete, non-simulated, undisputed regular-season results: at least 15% of the league schedule and seven per displayed team.
West
15 teams
| # | Team | W–L | To play | Proj. W | Top 6 | Play-in | Eliminated | Breakdown | 1st place |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets@Breezy | 23–4 | ~0 of 0 | 23.0 | >99% | <1% | <1% | >99% | |
| 2 | Lakers@Dydouw99 | 21–8 | ~0 of 0 | 21.0 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 3 | Clippers@Unkfut | 21–8 | ~0 of 0 | 21.0 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 4 | Spurs@Kawelito | 20–7 | ~0 of 0 | 20.0 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 5 | Jazz@Badgraal | 18–11 | ~0 of 0 | 18.0 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 6 | Warriors@hotBooy_13 | 17–9 | ~0 of 0 | 17.0 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| Play-in · seeds 7-10 | |||||||||
| Trail Blazers@xKarkasss_ | 15–14 | ~0 of 0 | 15.0 | <1% | >99% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Timberwolves@GeniuS MaJor | 14–15 | ~0 of 0 | 14.0 | <1% | >99% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pelicans@Magic_XXIII | 9–17 | ~0 of 0 | 9.0 | <1% | >99% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nuggets@Joackim-93600 | 8–19 | ~0 of 0 | 8.0 | <1% | >99% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Playoff Line | |||||||||
| 11 | Grizzlies@clement02 | 7–22 | ~0 of 0 | 7.0 | <1% | <1% | >99% | <1% | |
| 12 | Mavericks@Eagles-Le-Barbu | 4–24 | ~0 of 0 | 4.0 | <1% | <1% | >99% | <1% | |
| 13 | Thunder@Etzeir | 4–25 | ~0 of 0 | 4.0 | <1% | <1% | >99% | <1% | |
| 14 | Suns@Noh225 | 2–26 | ~0 of 0 | 2.0 | <1% | <1% | >99% | <1% | |
| 15 | KingsCPU | 1–22 | ~0 of 0 | 1.0 | <1% | <1% | >99% | <1% | |
East
15 teams
| # | Team | W–L | To play | Proj. W | Top 6 | Play-in | Eliminated | Breakdown | 1st place |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics@Bakel_2312 | 27–2 | ~0 of 0 | 27.0 | >99% | <1% | <1% | >99% | |
| 2 | Raptors@Zvnkoo | 24–5 | ~0 of 0 | 24.0 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 3 | Pacers@Noahalex64 | 23–6 | ~0 of 0 | 23.0 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 4 | Cavaliers@Arno | 22–6 | ~0 of 0 | 22.0 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 5 | 76ers@NiiinoBall | 22–7 | ~0 of 0 | 22.0 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 6 | Bucks@riico_jr | 20–9 | ~0 of 0 | 20.0 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| Play-in · seeds 7-10 | |||||||||
| Knicks@djawadledz27 | 18–11 | ~0 of 0 | 18.0 | <1% | >99% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hawks@IziR1 | 17–12 | ~0 of 0 | 17.0 | <1% | >99% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Magic@Waizers | 16–13 | ~0 of 0 | 16.0 | <1% | >99% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pistons@Bronnyjames_ | 14–13 | ~0 of 0 | 14.0 | <1% | >99% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Playoff Line | |||||||||
| 11 | Heat@MiMirtinthefire | 10–18 | ~0 of 0 | 10.0 | <1% | <1% | >99% | <1% | |
| 12 | Bulls@rabsi | 8–21 | ~0 of 0 | 8.0 | <1% | <1% | >99% | <1% | |
| 13 | Wizards@NCALI | 8–21 | ~0 of 0 | 8.0 | <1% | <1% | >99% | <1% | |
| 14 | Nets@Weezyinho | 5–22 | ~0 of 0 | 5.0 | <1% | <1% | >99% | <1% | |
| 15 | Hornets@Mdln_zoumo | 4–25 | ~0 of 0 | 4.0 | <1% | <1% | >99% | <1% | |
Method
Method: each game is won with a probability drawn from the Houss Power Ranking (raw score margins), with a game-to-game spread of 13 points fitted on this league's results. With a season end date, a game left between two teams is played with the lower of the two teams' chances to get to it at their pace (games per day since the first game, the last 7 days weighing in when they differ clearly); without one, every game left is played. Ties are broken using this league's standings rules. « >99 % » and « <1 % »: a simulation never shows 100 % or 0 %.
Games not played by the end date do not count. The league admins can adjust the seeds when the playoffs start.